Thursday, February 24, 2022

The Root Cause of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

      On January 20, 2020, Joe Biden signed a dozen executive orders reversing President Trumnp's successful policies, not understanding the unforeseen consequences of his idiocy.  One of these was to give Putin free range in Ukraine.  Putin could have acted almost immediately, but was forced to wait a year due to Covid-19, as it would not have worked out well to have an army trying to fight Ukraine and a deadly contagious disease at the same time. Now, with Covid-19 in its endemic stage, he acted.  He knew and correctly expected little real opposition from the Biden regime as there was virtually none from Obama-Biden when he gobbled up the Crimean Peninsula.  Both Biden and Obama were weak and allowed every country to take advantage of this weakness.  It was Trump that prevented Russian expansion, and forced China to accept more reasonable trade practices.  Trump also saw the failure of the poorly worked out nuclear deal with Iran and withdrew putting pressure on Iran elsewhere. 

      Biden and his far left "green" supporters don't understand or don't care, that if one believes that gas and oil cause climate change, while transported in a truck, tank car, ship,  pipeline, or still in the ground they don't produce global warming.  It is only when they are burned is carbon residuals produced. Therefore, whether the natural gas and oil originate in Russia, Iran, Canada, or Texas, its really doesn't matter, except to help or hurt America.  Under President Trump, America's economy was booming as we became energy independent and  an exporter of energy.  Though originally expensive, the cost of fracking has come way down as our reserves subsequently went way up. The old theory of "peak oil " was found to be wrong. Oil and gas not only contribute to fuel for vehicles and heating, but are also responsible for chemicals, fertilizers, medicines, and plastics.  The cost of all of these has risen dramatically and Biden's stupidity is the "root cause" of Putin's bellicose attitude and America's inflation.

      Putin's excuse for attacking Ukraine is that there are native Russians living there who are mistreated.  Rings similar to Hitler's claims in the Czech Sudetenland that caused a weak Neville Chamberlain to concede. In reality, Ukraine has the fourth largest natural gas reserves, mostly untapped.  Seizing these would allow Putin to control Europe's energy supply and contain NATO. It would also give him an edge, if he wanted to gobble up the Baltic States, even though they are now part of NATO.

      Biden has also recently nixed the completion of the Eastmed Pipeline that sends natural gas from Israel, Egypt and Cypress to Greece and the Balkans.  His excuses for doing so is weak, first citing non existent environmental concerns and now claiming that Turkey is against it.  In fact, Turkey was invited to participate and still could, but has objected to Israel's blockade of Turkish weapons shipments to terrorist Hamas in Gaza.

       Biden and the American left would rather hurt America and Europe than do what is right and makes sense. Opening up American gas and oil production would reduce inflation as the cost of nearly all goods and services has costs built by the price of natural gas and/or oil. Additionally, Biden' actions  have upped the price of natural gas and oil and the increased profits have allowed Russia to launch its current costly endeavor against Ukraine. In other words, Biden has helped pay for this.

       Biden needs to reverse his war on oil and natural gas as it has no real purpose in both the long or short run. We can supply liquid natural gas to Europe at a much cheaper cost as it costs us far less to raise it. This would prevent Russian blackmail and extortion of NATO. American and Europe energy independence from Russian hydrocarbons would reduce Russia's hard currency and ability to make war.. Russian oligarchs, who keep Putin in power would not be happy. It would then be Putin that would fall victim to his own perfidy.

      If Biden or his successor has any real chance of successfully running for president again, he must turn America's energy back on. He currently has only about 35% of support by Americans and it will continue to drop as inflation spirals out of control and our allies complain bitterly. 

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